Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 4.302528 4.964980 5.693767 6.554816 7.544233 8.645516 9.964402
2024-12-22 3.268313 4.101794 5.095976 6.368597 7.954157 9.864627 12.342278
2024-12-29 2.782844 3.757713 5.005359 6.717708 9.006252 11.959709 16.063153
2025-01-05 2.377532 3.428318 4.860687 6.953123 9.930646 14.015835 20.050947
2025-01-12 2.001834 3.064158 4.597611 6.968169 10.538579 15.715949 23.800593
2025-01-19 1.617326 2.615541 4.134407 6.607824 10.532480 16.519566 26.355483
2025-01-26 1.455356 2.474829 4.102426 6.881676 11.505911 18.893002 31.601739
2025-02-02 1.359812 2.422302 4.195604 7.359246 12.858476 22.024288 38.476847
2025-02-09 1.224980 2.279686 4.115097 7.527216 13.707128 24.425806 44.446643
2025-02-16 1.099470 2.132322 4.001896 7.615029 14.416966 26.664313 50.411627
2025-02-23 0.954872 1.926328 3.752098 7.413576 14.565102 27.908631 54.717582
2025-03-02 0.813905 1.705060 3.441177 7.048182 14.345420 28.431077 57.706382
2025-03-09 0.740765 1.611749 3.370859 7.157590 15.093098 30.940333 65.012480
2025-03-16 0.649356 1.466368 3.175839 6.985863 15.250328 32.312261 70.231955
2025-03-23 0.620491 1.451332 3.248798 7.388676 16.665725 36.427869 81.742006
2025-03-30 0.582866 1.410745 3.260892 7.660176 17.834794 40.177461 92.982535
2025-04-06 0.530976 1.328867 3.169486 7.684636 18.454164 42.814401 102.111623
2025-04-13 0.458049 1.184929 2.915172 7.292300 18.055280 43.122796 105.942796
2025-04-20 0.436427 1.164568 2.949501 7.597068 19.355102 47.498610 119.970352
2025-04-27 0.428477 1.177904 3.067521 8.125529 21.275720 53.585196 138.976240
2025-05-04 0.402684 1.140131 3.052134 8.311955 22.360565 57.780587 153.827441
2025-05-11 0.375001 1.092838 3.005462 8.409543 23.228640 61.545125 168.082108
2025-05-18 0.336271 1.008469 2.848644 8.187781 23.216121 63.056363 176.613000